--- title: "Cobalt case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Cobalt ($1.70) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.21% from 13 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cobalt rendered: 2026-11-11T23:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Cobalt](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cobalt) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Cobalt A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cobalt?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cobalt?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cobalt) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cobalt?window=all) Price · $1.70 · 2.77 coins Advertised RTP · 91.21% · EV $1.55 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 22.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 70 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cobalt?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cobalt?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cobalt) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cobalt?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $224 365 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $133 217 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $91.05 148 coins | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $72.38 118 coins | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $58.14 94.64 coins | 9.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $46.14 75.11 coins | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-factory-new) | 1 in 182 | $38.59 62.82 coins | 13.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $28.81 46.9 coins | 13.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $22.89 37.26 coins | 19.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $16.60 27.02 coins | 16.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-well-worn) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Off World (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-battle-scarred) | 35.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 21:38 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=cobalt) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $1.70 | 91.21% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.2% classified 0.4% industrial 0.8% restricted 30.8% mil spec 2.8% #4b69ff 65.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.21 on average: an expected loss of $8.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt