---
title: "Cosmic Boom case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Cosmic Boom ($62.71) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 16 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cosmic-boom
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Cosmic Boom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cosmic-boom)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Cosmic Boom

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cosmic-boom?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cosmic-boom?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cosmic-boom) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cosmic-boom?window=all)

Price · $62.71 · 102 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $57.19 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 6.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cosmic-boom?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cosmic-boom?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cosmic-boom) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/cosmic-boom?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 5,000 | $6,150 10,012 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,891 4,706 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 714 | $1,138 1,852 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 500 | $923 1,502 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 81 | $594 966 coins | 12.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 133 | $412 671 coins | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 100 | $264 431 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 18 | $198 322 coins | 19.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $154 250 coins | 9.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $135 220 coins | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $105 170 coins | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $92.26 150 coins | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $73.81 120 coins | 9.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Cold Fusion (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-well-worn) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=cosmic-boom)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $62.71 | 91.20% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 12.4% classified 3.8% Classified 4.8% mil spec 6.5% restricted 7.5% #87c7ff 25.0% blue 20.0% milspec 20.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt