---
title: "Crimson Terror case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Crimson Terror ($0.29) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.41% from 17 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-terror
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Crimson Terror](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-terror)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Crimson Terror

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-terror?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-terror?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-terror) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-terror?window=all)

Price · $0.29 · 0.48 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.41% · EV $0.27 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 13.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-terror?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-terror?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-terror) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-terror?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $27.92 45.45 coins | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $12.86 20.94 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 714 | $6.78 11.04 coins | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Red Rock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $4.17 6.79 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-red-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $2.60 4.23 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Red Stone (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-field-tested) | 1 in 159 | $2.43 3.95 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Red Tire (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-red-tire-factory-new) | 1 in 123 | $2.07 3.37 coins | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Red FragCam (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1.51 2.46 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Red Python (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-red-python-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $0.79 1.28 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Red Tire (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-red-tire-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $0.61 1 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-red-astor-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $0.52 0.84 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $0.51 0.83 coins | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Full Stop (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.38 0.62 coins | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.37 0.6 coins | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.36 0.58 coins | 10.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) | 30.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) | 35.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 21:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=crimson-terror)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $0.29 | 90.41% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Legendary 0.1% classified 0.3% restricted 12.7% common 0.6% industrial 2.8% Mil Spec Grade 7.0% mil spec 31.5% Restricted 3.0% blue 7.0% Uncommon 35.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.41 on average: an expected loss of $9.59 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt