--- title: "Crimson Web case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Crimson Web ($59.66) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 14 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-web rendered: 2026-11-11T20:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Crimson Web](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-web) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Crimson Web A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-web?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-web?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-web) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-web?window=all) Price · $59.66 · 97.12 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $54.41 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 4.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.9% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-web?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-web?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-web) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/crimson-web?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $5,427 8,834 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,509 4,085 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $991 1,614 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $700 1,139 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 111 | $455 740 coins | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $320 521 coins | 9.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $204 332 coins | 13.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $140 228 coins | 13.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $123 199 coins | 14.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $96.31 157 coins | 11.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $75.83 123 coins | 9.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $64.54 105 coins | 9.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | $0.45 0.73 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | $0.05 0.08 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=crimson-web) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $59.66 | 91.20% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed knifes 0.0% legendary 0.1% covert 32.8% sunny 7.1% Mil Spec Grade 30.0% mil spec 30.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt