---
title: "Fortune case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Fortune ($21.90) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.83% over 18.8K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/d0776563d398c0e5294154423d4a2b50
rendered: 2026-11-12T10:41Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Fortune](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/d0776563d398c0e5294154423d4a2b50)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Fortune

A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/d0776563d398c0e5294154423d4a2b50?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/d0776563d398c0e5294154423d4a2b50?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/d0776563d398c0e5294154423d4a2b50) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/d0776563d398c0e5294154423d4a2b50?window=all)

Price · $21.90 · 35.65 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.83% · 18.8K openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 96.73% ±20.06 2,019 openings

7 days · 85.75% ±7.54 13.4K openings

30 days · 88.83% ±6.57 18.8K openings

since tracking started · 88.83% ±6.57 18.8K openings

76.0% 96.8% 117.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/d0776563d398c0e5294154423d4a2b50?window=24h) | 2,019 | 96.73% ±20.1 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/d0776563d398c0e5294154423d4a2b50?window=7d) | 13.4K | 85.75% ±7.54 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/d0776563d398c0e5294154423d4a2b50) | 18.8K | 88.83% ±6.57 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/d0776563d398c0e5294154423d4a2b50?window=all) | 18.8K | 88.83% ±6.57 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $21.90 35.65 coins $2,902 4,725 coins 132.5x 2026-11-10 04:00 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $21.90 35.65 coins $2,902 4,725 coins 132.5x 2026-11-04 10:08 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $21.90 35.65 coins $1,720 2,800 coins 78.53x 2026-11-12 00:18 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $21.90 35.65 coins $1,720 2,800 coins 78.53x 2026-11-08 19:41 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $21.90 35.65 coins $1,720 2,800 coins 78.53x 2026-11-07 13:28 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $21.90 35.65 coins $1,720 2,800 coins 78.53x 2026-11-07 09:44 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $21.90 35.65 coins $1,720 2,800 coins 78.53x 2026-11-04 18:41 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) [shajn](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/shajn) $21.90 35.65 coins $1,720 2,800 coins 78.53x 2026-11-04 10:38 UTC

[★ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $21.90 35.65 coins $1,720 2,800 coins 78.53x 2026-11-03 11:02 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-field-tested) [69°C](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/69%C2%B0C) $21.90 35.65 coins $1,182 1,925 coins 53.99x 2026-11-10 16:06 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=d0776563d398c0e5294154423d4a2b50)

[SG 553 | Cyberforce (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyberforce-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.90 35.65 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:26 UTC

[SG 553 | Cyberforce (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyberforce-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.90 35.65 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:26 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.90 35.65 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:26 UTC

[Negev | Drop Me (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-battle-scarred) [JakeTheDawg](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/JakeTheDawg) $21.90 35.65 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:26 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.90 35.65 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:16 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.90 35.65 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:16 UTC

[Negev | Drop Me (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-battle-scarred) [JakeTheDawg](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/JakeTheDawg) $21.90 35.65 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 10:16 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.90 35.65 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:50 UTC

[SG 553 | Cyberforce (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyberforce-battle-scarred) [s1kony](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/s1kony) $21.90 35.65 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:50 UTC

[Negev | Drop Me (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-battle-scarred) Hidden $21.90 35.65 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 09:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $2,902 (132.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.83 on average: an expected loss of $11.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
