---
title: "Daredevil case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Daredevil ($0.39) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.26% from 8 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/daredevil
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:20Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Daredevil](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/daredevil)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Daredevil

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/daredevil?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/daredevil?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/daredevil) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/daredevil?window=all)

Price · $0.39 · 0.63 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.26% · EV $0.35 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 159.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 111 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/daredevil?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/daredevil?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/daredevil) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/daredevil?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $953 1,551 coins | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,136 | $62.87 102 coins | 15.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $20.95 34.1 coins | 14.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-factory-new) | 1 in 179 | $9.53 15.52 coins | 15.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 118 | $6.86 11.16 coins | 16.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $4.38 7.13 coins | 16.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $2.67 4.34 coins | 14.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-battle-scarred) | 95.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=daredevil)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $0.39 | 91.26% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 1.4% covert 0.3% Legendary 1.3% restricted 1.9% #8847ff 95.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.26 on average: an expected loss of $8.74 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
