---
title: "Dark Fever case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Dark Fever ($3.16) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.18% from 18 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-fever
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Dark Fever](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-fever)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Dark Fever

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-fever?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-fever?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-fever) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-fever?window=all)

Price · $3.16 · 5.15 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.18% · EV $2.88 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 59.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-fever?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-fever?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-fever) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-fever?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bayonet \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $286 466 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $132 215 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 714 | $52.28 85.11 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 357 | $43.05 70.09 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 141 | $31.37 51.06 coins | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 196 | $23.68 38.55 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $16.91 27.53 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $12.30 20.02 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $9.84 16.02 coins | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $8.61 14.02 coins | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Dusk Ruins (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $7.07 11.51 coins | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $6.15 10.01 coins | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Rose Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $4.92 8.01 coins | 11.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Shattered (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-shattered-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $4.31 7.01 coins | 11.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $3.38 5.51 coins | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-field-tested) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Facility Dark (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-factory-new) | 19.5% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) | 20.4% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=dark-fever)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $3.16 | 91.18% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 5.7% classified 11.4% restricted 8.7% Legendary 3.0% #4b69ff 44.3% Rare 7.4% consumer 19.5%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.18 on average: an expected loss of $8.82 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt