---
title: "Dark Knight case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Dark Knight ($186.15) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 16 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-knight
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:36Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Dark Knight](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-knight)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Dark Knight

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-knight?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-knight?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-knight) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-knight?window=all)

Price · $186.15 · 303 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $169.76 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-knight?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-knight?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-knight) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dark-knight?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $18.5K 30,037 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $8,672 14,117 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 667 | $3,413 5,557 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 526 | $2,768 4,506 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $1,781 2,899 coins | 12.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 132 | $1,236 2,012 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $793 1,292 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Night (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $594 967 coins | 19.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $461 751 coins | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $406 661 coins | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $314 511 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $277 451 coins | 10.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $221 360 coins | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Facility Dark (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-facility-dark-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-black-sand-field-tested) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=dark-knight)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $186 | 91.20% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed contraband 0.0% legendary 0.1% covert 25.0% classified 0.2% Covert 0.8% #EB4B4B 5.5% covert knife 3.5% consumer 25.0% #4b69ff 40.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt