---
title: "Deep Sea case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Deep Sea ($48.23) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 22 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/deep-sea
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Deep Sea](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/deep-sea)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Deep Sea

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/deep-sea?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/deep-sea?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/deep-sea) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/deep-sea?window=all)

Price · $48.23 · 78.51 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $43.98 from 22 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 35.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 50.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/deep-sea?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/deep-sea?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/deep-sea) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/deep-sea?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $3,074 5,005 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $2,129 3,465 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 14,286 | $1,987 3,234 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,893 3,081 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $1,419 2,310 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 10,000 | $875 1,425 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 4,000 | $686 1,116 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $473 771 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 2,500 | $402 655 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 1,250 | $331 539 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 556 | $189 308 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $116 189 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $94.61 154 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $87.50 142 coins | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $73.29 119 coins | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $68.61 112 coins | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $63.85 104 coins | 12.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 10.5% | $61.96 101 coins | 14.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 13.5% | $54.39 88.54 coins | 16.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $35.50 57.79 coins | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 16.3% | $21.29 34.66 coins | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-factory-new) | 19.5% | $7.11 11.58 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=deep-sea)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $48.23 | 91.20% | 22 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 58.5% extraordinary 0.0% classified 10.5% gold 1.4% restricted 12.9% Immortal 0.4% mil spec 16.3%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt