---
title: "Dream Doppler case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Dream Doppler ($1,065.46) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 17 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dream-doppler
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Dream Doppler](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dream-doppler)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Dream Doppler

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dream-doppler?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dream-doppler?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dream-doppler) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dream-doppler?window=all)

Price · $1,065.46 · 1,734 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $971.70 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 27.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 64.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dream-doppler?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dream-doppler?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dream-doppler) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/dream-doppler?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $13.6K 22,104 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 500 | $8,881 14,457 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 200 | $6,787 11,049 coins | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 111 | $4,596 7,481 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 67 | $3,346 5,447 coins | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 59 | $2,766 4,503 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 45 | $2,348 3,823 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 38 | $2,089 3,401 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 32 | $1,885 3,069 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 28 | $1,571 2,558 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 22 | $1,413 2,300 coins | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 16 | $1,256 2,045 coins | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · gold · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 12 | $1,096 1,784 coins | 9.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 10.5% | $886 1,442 coins | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 14.2% | $680 1,108 coins | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 17.5% | $418 681 coins | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 22.5% | $262 427 coins | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=dream-doppler)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $1,065 | 91.20% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 69.2% gold 8.3% red 22.5%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt