---
title: "Economy case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Economy ($2.33) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.26% from 16 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/economy
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:32Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Economy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/economy)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Economy

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/economy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/economy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/economy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/economy?window=all)

Price · $2.33 · 3.79 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.26% · EV $2.12 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 10.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 24 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/economy?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/economy?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/economy) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/economy?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $157 256 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $91.93 150 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $60.23 98.05 coins | 12.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $35.80 58.28 coins | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 154 | $27.27 44.4 coins | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 95 | $21.59 35.15 coins | 10.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $12.05 19.61 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $10.23 16.65 coins | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $8.31 13.52 coins | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $7.02 11.43 coins | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $5.21 8.48 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Syndicate (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-syndicate-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $3.86 6.29 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $3.18 5.18 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Sand Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-sand-spray-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Urban DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-urban-ddpat-well-worn) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 21:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=economy)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $2.33 | 91.26% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 5.2% classified 6.3% pink 0.5% mil spec 2.4% violet 2.6% Restricted 3.0% consumer 80.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.26 on average: an expected loss of $8.74 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt