--- title: "Evil Eye case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Evil Eye ($15.39) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.18% from 22 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/evil-eye rendered: 2026-11-11T14:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Evil Eye](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/evil-eye) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Evil Eye A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/evil-eye?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/evil-eye?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/evil-eye) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/evil-eye?window=all) Price · $15.39 · 25.05 coins Advertised RTP · 91.18% · EV $14.03 from 22 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 29.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 56.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/evil-eye?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/evil-eye?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/evil-eye) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/evil-eye?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $722 1,175 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-field-tested) | 1 in 12,500 | $614 1,000 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14,286 | $572 931 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 11,111 | $459 747 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $369 600 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $306 499 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $229 373 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,857 | $153 249 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $138 225 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-bright-water-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,176 | $107 174 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 588 | $61.02 99.33 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| First Class (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $37.83 61.58 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $29.92 48.71 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $26.00 42.33 coins | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $24.00 39.07 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $23.03 37.49 coins | 15.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 13.0% | $20.19 32.87 coins | 18.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-minimal-wear) | 14.0% | $19.99 32.54 coins | 19.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 16.0% | $14.95 24.33 coins | 17.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $9.99 16.27 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-battlestar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $4.99 8.13 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 24.0% | $1.99 3.24 coins | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=evil-eye) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $15.39 | 91.18% | 22 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #eb4b4b 0.0% covert 54.1% covert knife 0.1% #ffd700 0.0% #8847ff 0.4% restricted 4.8% classified 31.5% Ancient 9.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.18 on average: an expected loss of $8.82 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt