--- title: "Vanilla case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vanilla ($40.76) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.83% over 3,240 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/faaa5ee921d5df3ea1823d5d33a70b19 rendered: 2026-11-12T04:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Vanilla](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/faaa5ee921d5df3ea1823d5d33a70b19) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Vanilla A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/faaa5ee921d5df3ea1823d5d33a70b19?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/faaa5ee921d5df3ea1823d5d33a70b19?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/faaa5ee921d5df3ea1823d5d33a70b19) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/faaa5ee921d5df3ea1823d5d33a70b19?window=all) Price · $40.76 · 66.36 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 92.83% · 3,240 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 319 openings · below min 7 days · 95.51% ±9.01 2,365 openings 30 days · 92.83% ±7.28 3,240 openings since tracking started · 92.83% ±7.28 3,240 openings 68.5% 93.5% 118.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/faaa5ee921d5df3ea1823d5d33a70b19?window=24h) | 319 | 93.39% ±24.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/faaa5ee921d5df3ea1823d5d33a70b19?window=7d) | 2,365 | 95.51% ±9.01 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/faaa5ee921d5df3ea1823d5d33a70b19) | 3,240 | 92.83% ±7.28 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/faaa5ee921d5df3ea1823d5d33a70b19?window=all) | 3,240 | 92.83% ±7.28 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Knife | Butterfly Knife other](https://gambatracker.com/items/knife-butterfly-knife) Hidden $40.76 66.36 coins $1,597 2,599 coins 39.17x 2026-11-06 13:31 UTC [★ Knife | Skeleton Knife other](https://gambatracker.com/items/knife-skeleton-knife) Hidden $40.76 66.36 coins $800 1,302 coins 19.62x 2026-11-12 00:37 UTC [★ Knife | Skeleton Knife other](https://gambatracker.com/items/knife-skeleton-knife) [zackarias2016](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/zackarias2016) $40.76 66.36 coins $800 1,302 coins 19.62x 2026-11-11 07:52 UTC [★ Knife | Skeleton Knife other](https://gambatracker.com/items/knife-skeleton-knife) Hidden $40.76 66.36 coins $800 1,302 coins 19.62x 2026-11-09 09:03 UTC [★ Knife | Skeleton Knife other](https://gambatracker.com/items/knife-skeleton-knife) Hidden $40.76 66.36 coins $800 1,302 coins 19.62x 2026-11-08 13:06 UTC [★ Knife | Skeleton Knife other](https://gambatracker.com/items/knife-skeleton-knife) Hidden $40.76 66.36 coins $800 1,302 coins 19.62x 2026-11-08 11:28 UTC [★ Knife | Skeleton Knife other](https://gambatracker.com/items/knife-skeleton-knife) [netin](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/netin) $40.76 66.36 coins $800 1,302 coins 19.62x 2026-11-07 08:03 UTC [★ Knife | Skeleton Knife other](https://gambatracker.com/items/knife-skeleton-knife) Hidden $40.76 66.36 coins $800 1,302 coins 19.62x 2026-11-07 07:44 UTC [★ Knife | Skeleton Knife other](https://gambatracker.com/items/knife-skeleton-knife) Hidden $40.76 66.36 coins $800 1,302 coins 19.62x 2026-11-07 07:42 UTC [★ Knife | Skeleton Knife other](https://gambatracker.com/items/knife-skeleton-knife) [Bocaaj](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Bocaaj) $40.76 66.36 coins $800 1,302 coins 19.62x 2026-11-06 05:15 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=faaa5ee921d5df3ea1823d5d33a70b19) [MAC-10 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $40.76 66.36 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:21 UTC [Glock-18 | Ironwork (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ironwork-battle-scarred) Hidden $40.76 66.36 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:21 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $40.76 66.36 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:21 UTC [P2000 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-minimal-wear) [CrewSader.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/CrewSader.) $40.76 66.36 coins $50.83 82.74 coins 1.25x 2026-11-12 02:21 UTC [P2000 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $40.76 66.36 coins $50.83 82.74 coins 1.25x 2026-11-12 02:16 UTC [Glock-18 | Ironwork (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ironwork-battle-scarred) Hidden $40.76 66.36 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:16 UTC [P2000 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $40.76 66.36 coins $50.83 82.74 coins 1.25x 2026-11-12 02:16 UTC [R8 Revolver | Memento (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-battle-scarred) [CrewSader.](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/CrewSader.) $40.76 66.36 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:16 UTC [R8 Revolver | Memento (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-memento-battle-scarred) Hidden $40.76 66.36 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:08 UTC [MAC-10 | Silver (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-silver-minimal-wear) Hidden $40.76 66.36 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 02:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,597 (39.17x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.83 on average: an expected loss of $7.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt