--- title: "Fakeshtein case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Fakeshtein ($0.10) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.56% from 9 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fakeshtein rendered: 2026-11-11T17:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Fakeshtein](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fakeshtein) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Fakeshtein A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fakeshtein?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fakeshtein?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fakeshtein) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fakeshtein?window=all) Price · $0.10 · 0.16 coins Advertised RTP · 91.56% · EV $0.09 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fakeshtein?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fakeshtein?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fakeshtein) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fakeshtein?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 20 | $0.33 0.53 coins | 18.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.31 0.5 coins | 17.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.26 0.42 coins | 14.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.23 0.37 coins | 12.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 20 | $0.21 0.34 coins | 11.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.19 0.31 coins | 10.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 20 | $0.16 0.26 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.12 0.2 coins | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAX WIN other](https://gambatracker.com/items/max-win) | 60.0% | $0 0 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=fakeshtein) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $0.10 | 91.56% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 30.0% red 5.0% classified 5.0% other 60.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.56 on average: an expected loss of $8.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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