--- title: "Howling Dawn case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Howling Dawn ($639.09) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.67% over 232 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ff7d8db8a052b95f192e3f6b3ad5c87e rendered: 2026-11-12T02:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Howling Dawn](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ff7d8db8a052b95f192e3f6b3ad5c87e) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Howling Dawn A case on CSGOEmpire, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ff7d8db8a052b95f192e3f6b3ad5c87e?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ff7d8db8a052b95f192e3f6b3ad5c87e?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ff7d8db8a052b95f192e3f6b3ad5c87e) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ff7d8db8a052b95f192e3f6b3ad5c87e?window=all) Price · $639.09 · 1,040 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.67% · 232 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 168 openings · below min 30 days · 232 openings · below min since tracking started · 232 openings · below min -0.5% 54.3% 109.0% **Small sample.** 232 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ff7d8db8a052b95f192e3f6b3ad5c87e?window=24h) | 4 | 28.87% ±56.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ff7d8db8a052b95f192e3f6b3ad5c87e?window=7d) | 168 | 85.55% ±22.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ff7d8db8a052b95f192e3f6b3ad5c87e) | 232 | 81.67% ±17.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/ff7d8db8a052b95f192e3f6b3ad5c87e?window=all) | 232 | 81.67% ±17.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** CSGOEmpire publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $6,765 11,014 coins 10.59x 2026-11-05 17:05 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $5,105 8,310 coins 7.99x 2026-11-06 20:00 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $3,690 6,007 coins 5.77x 2026-11-09 19:56 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $2,645 4,305 coins 4.14x 2026-11-10 23:41 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $2,645 4,305 coins 4.14x 2026-11-10 19:01 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $2,645 4,305 coins 4.14x 2026-11-09 19:56 UTC [Sticker | Reason Gaming sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $2,645 4,305 coins 4.14x 2026-11-08 21:18 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) [fl4ck](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/fl4ck) $639 1,040 coins $2,116 3,444 coins 3.31x 2026-11-10 22:03 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $2,116 3,444 coins 3.31x 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $2,116 3,444 coins 3.31x 2026-11-07 10:35 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=ff7d8db8a052b95f192e3f6b3ad5c87e) [PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:18 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $738 1,201 coins 1.15x 2026-11-11 23:18 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-well-worn) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $0.04 0.06 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:18 UTC [PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-minimal-wear) [Julekage\<3 PT I LIVGARDEN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/Julekage%3C3%20PT%20I%20LIVGARDEN) $639 1,040 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 23:18 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $738 1,201 coins 1.15x 2026-11-10 23:45 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-well-worn) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $0.04 0.06 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:45 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $923 1,502 coins 1.44x 2026-11-10 23:45 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-well-worn) Hidden $639 1,040 coins $0.04 0.06 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:45 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [moi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/moi) $639 1,040 coins $1,538 2,503 coins 2.41x 2026-11-10 23:45 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-well-worn) [moi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoempire/moi) $639 1,040 coins $0.04 0.06 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $6,765 (10.59x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.67 on average: an expected loss of $18.33 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt