---
title: "Fly High case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Fly High ($439.36) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 16 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fly-high
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:43Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Fly High](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fly-high)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Fly High

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fly-high?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fly-high?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fly-high) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fly-high?window=all)

Price · $439.36 · 715 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $400.70 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 64.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fly-high?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fly-high?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fly-high) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fly-high?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,250 | $12.3K 20,025 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 833 | $9,841 16,020 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 714 | $9,103 14,818 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 625 | $7,381 12,015 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $4,748 7,730 coins | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $3,297 5,367 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 88 | $2,116 3,444 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $1,584 2,579 coins | 13.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $1,230 2,002 coins | 10.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $1,082 1,762 coins | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $836 1,362 coins | 14.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $738 1,201 coins | 14.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $590 961 coins | 11.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Briefing (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-briefing-field-tested) | 24.9% | $0.02 0.04 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Ricochet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=fly-high)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $439 | 91.20% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 20.1% extraordinary 0.5% gold 14.5% #4b69ff 24.9% mil spec 40.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
