---
title: "Fool's Gold case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Fool's Gold ($0.20) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.45% from 6 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fools-gold
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Fool's Gold](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fools-gold)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Fool's Gold

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fools-gold?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fools-gold?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fools-gold) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fools-gold?window=all)

Price · $0.20 · 0.33 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.45% · EV $0.19 from 6 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 85.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 200 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fools-gold?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fools-gold?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fools-gold) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fools-gold?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [MAC-10 \| Gold Brick (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $45.22 73.61 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 1,250 | $28.41 46.25 coins | 12.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $22.60 36.79 coins | 15.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 370 | $17.61 28.66 coins | 25.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $14.12 22.99 coins | 38.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Goofy (Tiger Orange) graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-goofy-tiger-orange) | 99.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=fools-gold)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $0.20 | 91.45% | 6 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 0.0% covert 0.4% Ancient 0.1% violet 0.5% Graffiti 99.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.45 on average: an expected loss of $8.55 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt