--- title: "Fortune case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Fortune ($21.90) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.19% from 13 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fortune rendered: 2026-11-11T20:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Fortune](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fortune) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Fortune A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fortune?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fortune?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fortune) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fortune?window=all) Price · $21.90 · 35.65 coins Advertised RTP · 91.19% · EV $19.97 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 22.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 53 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fortune?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fortune?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fortune) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/fortune?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,902 4,725 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,720 2,800 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $1,182 1,925 coins | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $946 1,540 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $752 1,225 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $601 979 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $516 840 coins | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 105 | $408 665 coins | 19.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $322 525 coins | 21.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $258 420 coins | 23.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sawed-Off \| Spirit Board (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SG 553 \| Cyberforce (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyberforce-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Negev \| Drop Me (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-battle-scarred) | 35.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=fortune) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $21.90 | 91.19% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 1 30.0% covert 1.4% extraordinary 0.1% classified 0.4% red 1.3% pink 1.8% milspec 30.0% #4b69ff 35.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.19 on average: an expected loss of $8.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt