--- title: "Freaky Felix case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Freaky Felix ($42.81) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.19% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/freaky-felix rendered: 2026-11-11T23:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Freaky Felix](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/freaky-felix) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Freaky Felix A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/freaky-felix?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/freaky-felix?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/freaky-felix) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/freaky-felix?window=all) Price · $42.81 · 69.69 coins Advertised RTP · 91.19% · EV $39.04 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 8.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/freaky-felix?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/freaky-felix?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/freaky-felix) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/freaky-felix?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Freaky Handcuffs other](https://gambatracker.com/items/freaky-handcuffs) | 1 in 5,000 | $4,281 6,970 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $2,092 3,405 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $1,074 1,748 coins | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 250 | $638 1,038 coins | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 105 | $466 759 coins | 11.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $361 588 coins | 15.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 42 | $254 414 coins | 15.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $174 283 coins | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $102 166 coins | 11.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $67.84 110 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $50.60 82.38 coins | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Choke (Bazooka Pink) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-choke-bazooka-pink) | 75.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 21:38 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=freaky-felix) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $42.81 | 91.19% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 75.0% classified 14.9% extraordinary 0.1% covert 9.9% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.19 on average: an expected loss of $8.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt