--- title: "Golden Ticket case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Golden Ticket ($1,248.10) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 19 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/golden-ticket rendered: 2026-11-11T22:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Golden Ticket](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/golden-ticket) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Golden Ticket A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/golden-ticket?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/golden-ticket?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/golden-ticket) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/golden-ticket?window=all) Price · $1,248.10 · 2,032 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $1,138.26 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 4.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/golden-ticket?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/golden-ticket?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/golden-ticket) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/golden-ticket?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $61.5K 100,124 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo) | 1 in 667 | $24.6K 40,050 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo) | 1 in 500 | $19.7K 32,040 coins | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 345 | $15.4K 25,031 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 217 | $13.5K 22,027 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-factory-new) | 1 in 208 | $11.1K 18,022 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo) | 1 in 132 | $8,611 14,017 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 102 | $6,765 11,014 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 70 | $5,043 8,210 coins | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo) | 1 in 59 | $4,797 7,810 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $4,551 7,409 coins | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $3,690 6,007 coins | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $3,075 5,006 coins | 9.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $2,030 3,304 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $1,907 3,104 coins | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $1,476 2,403 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.07 0.11 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sawed-Off \| Yorick (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-yorick-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $0.04 0.06 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $0.04 0.06 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 21:38 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=golden-ticket) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $1,248 | 91.20% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 13.6% other 2.8% contraband 0.3% legendary 8.6% #ffd700 1.4% extraordinary 3.2% Mythical 25.0% mil spec 25.0% blue 20.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt