---
title: "Grim Reaper case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Grim Reaper ($1.89) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.26% from 14 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/grim-reaper
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:46Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Grim Reaper](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/grim-reaper)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Grim Reaper

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/grim-reaper?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/grim-reaper?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/grim-reaper) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/grim-reaper?window=all)

Price · $1.89 · 3.07 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.26% · EV $1.72 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 29.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 89.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/grim-reaper?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/grim-reaper?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/grim-reaper) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/grim-reaper?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $910 1,482 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 500 | $71.39 116 coins | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $57.50 93.6 coins | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $23.46 38.19 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Black Limba (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-black-limba-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $5.30 8.63 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $2.55 4.15 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $2.14 3.49 coins | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Night (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $1.65 2.69 coins | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) | 12.0% | $1.34 2.18 coins | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-field-tested) | 14.4% | $1.17 1.91 coins | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) | 13.0% | $1.14 1.86 coins | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir M4A4 \| Mainframe (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-mainframe-factory-new) | 13.7% | $1.04 1.69 coins | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Light Box (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-light-box-minimal-wear) | 11.3% | $0.81 1.32 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Motorized (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-motorized-minimal-wear) | 17.3% | $0.65 1.06 coins | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=grim-reaper)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $1.89 | 91.26% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.2% classified 13.3% mil spec 5.4% restricted 5.0% Industrial Grade 21.2% Rare 12.0% Mil Spec Grade 31.7% milspec 11.3%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.26 on average: an expected loss of $8.74 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
