---
title: "Heirloom case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Heirloom ($4,563.82) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 14 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/heirloom
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Heirloom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/heirloom)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Heirloom

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/heirloom?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/heirloom?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/heirloom) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/heirloom?window=all)

Price · $4,563.82 · 7,430 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $4,162.21 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 3.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/heirloom?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/heirloom?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/heirloom) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/heirloom?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo) | 1 in 167 | $60.8K 99,028 coins | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo) | 1 in 125 | $47.6K 77,413 coins | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $30.4K 49,514 coins | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo) | 1 in 111 | $22.5K 36,570 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $18.6K 30,314 coins | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $12.2K 19,800 coins | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $10.8K 17,513 coins | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $9,764 15,895 coins | 11.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $7,524 12,249 coins | 10.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $6,142 9,998 coins | 11.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $3,020 4,916 coins | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Tread (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-tread-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.27 0.44 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Inlay (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-inlay-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.13 0.21 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Atlas (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-atlas-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.13 0.21 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=heirloom)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $4,564 | 91.20% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 2.3% legendary 4.6% extraordinary 2.7% contraband 2.9% covert 19.5% #ffd700 8.0% Mil Spec 20.0% Common 20.0% milspec 20.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
