---
title: "Hypnotic case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Hypnotic ($1.20) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.17% from 15 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/hypnotic
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:21Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Hypnotic](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/hypnotic)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Hypnotic

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/hypnotic?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/hypnotic?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/hypnotic) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/hypnotic?window=all)

Price · $1.20 · 1.95 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.17% · EV $1.09 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 11.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/hypnotic?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/hypnotic?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/hypnotic) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/hypnotic?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-hypnotic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $127 207 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $49.84 81.13 coins | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $25.92 42.2 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $17.10 27.83 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Blind Spot (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-blind-spot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $10.95 17.83 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Visions (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-factory-new) | 1 in 169 | $8.87 14.44 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir PP-Bizon \| Irradiated Alert (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-irradiated-alert-factory-new) | 1 in 128 | $8.28 13.48 coins | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $6.01 9.79 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $3.03 4.93 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Wild Six (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-wild-six-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $2.86 4.65 coins | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-mount-fuji-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $2.44 3.97 coins | 15.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $1.83 2.98 coins | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $1.58 2.58 coins | 21.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-battle-scarred) | 35.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=hypnotic)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $1.20 | 91.17% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 16.6% extraordinary 0.1% red 0.2% covert 0.3% restricted 1.4% #d32ee6 0.6% Consumer Grade 0.8% Restricted 2.0% Mythical 7.0% Rare 6.0% milspec 30.0% #4b69ff 35.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.17 on average: an expected loss of $8.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt