---
title: "Imperial case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Imperial ($0.31) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.45% from 25 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/imperial
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:09Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Imperial](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/imperial)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Imperial

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/imperial?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/imperial?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/imperial) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/imperial?window=all)

Price · $0.31 · 0.51 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.45% · EV $0.28 from 25 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 3.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 35.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/imperial?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/imperial?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/imperial) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/imperial?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 25 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $52.23 85.03 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50,000 | $40.54 65.99 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 33,333 | $39.98 65.08 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 25,000 | $36.95 60.15 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $20.12 32.75 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $19.71 32.08 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $17.92 29.17 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $12.03 19.58 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir USP-S \| Check Engine (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-check-engine-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $10.65 17.33 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 2,222 | $7.62 12.41 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir M4A4 \| Converter (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-converter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,846 | $4.87 7.92 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Airlock (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $3.07 5 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,299 | $2.45 3.99 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-battle-scarred) | 1 in 556 | $1.27 2.07 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $0.79 1.29 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Full Stop (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $0.64 1.04 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.57 0.93 coins | 11.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $0.52 0.85 coins | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.36 0.59 coins | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) | 13.0% | $0.36 0.59 coins | 16.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-field-tested) | 12.5% | $0.29 0.47 coins | 12.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-survivor-z-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $0.25 0.41 coins | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-field-tested) | 16.0% | $0.24 0.39 coins | 13.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.09 0.15 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=imperial)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $0.31 | 90.45% | 25 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% red 0.0% Covert 0.0% classified 0.1% mil spec 9.5% pink 0.0% Mil Spec 0.0% #d32ee6 0.2% Mythical 13.1% industrial 7.4% #4b69ff 9.9% restricted 27.3% blue 12.5% Mil Spec Grade 20.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.45 on average: an expected loss of $9.55 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt