--- title: "Kingdom case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Kingdom ($518.24) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 15 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kingdom rendered: 2026-11-11T13:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Kingdom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kingdom) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Kingdom A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kingdom?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kingdom?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kingdom) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kingdom?window=all) Price · $518.24 · 844 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $472.63 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 32.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 37.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kingdom?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kingdom?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kingdom) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kingdom?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 1,136 | $3,413 5,556 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 769 | $2,560 4,167 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $2,263 3,685 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 658 | $2,125 3,459 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 556 | $1,861 3,030 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 76 | $973 1,584 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $826 1,345 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $751 1,223 coins | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $739 1,203 coins | 11.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 13.0% | $672 1,094 coins | 18.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-black-laminate-well-worn) | 15.2% | $628 1,022 coins | 20.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-fade-factory-new) | 14.9% | $535 871 coins | 16.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $345 561 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 11.0% | $132 214 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-battle-scarred) | 20.3% | $49.98 81.37 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=kingdom) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $518 | 91.20% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 28.8% gold 5.8% epic 0.2% Covert 18.7% covert knife 26.2% extraordinary 20.3% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt