---
title: "Kukri case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Kukri ($0.45) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.36% from 15 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kukri
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Kukri](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kukri)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Kukri

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kukri?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kukri?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kukri) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kukri?window=all)

Price · $0.45 · 0.74 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.36% · EV $0.42 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 164.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 81.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kukri?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kukri?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kukri) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/kukri?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $555 904 coins | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $85.38 139 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $47.87 77.93 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $32.05 52.17 coins | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $27.30 44.45 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76 | $1.36 2.21 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-battle-scarred) | 1 in 55 | $0.86 1.4 coins | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Blue Tire (Factory New) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-tire-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $0.71 1.16 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $0.62 1.01 coins | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Valence (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $0.58 0.94 coins | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $0.48 0.78 coins | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $0.42 0.68 coins | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-battle-scarred) | 28.0% | $0.24 0.39 coins | 16.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-field-tested) | 26.0% | $0.15 0.24 coins | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blue Spruce (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blue-spruce-factory-new) | 20.3% | $0.13 0.21 coins | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=kukri)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $0.45 | 91.36% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 0.0% covert 0.0% industrial 0.1% restricted 1.9% mil spec 29.4% gray 2.5% #4b69ff 3.5% milspec 30.3% consumer 25.6% blue 6.9%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.36 on average: an expected loss of $8.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
