--- title: "Lucky Dip case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Lucky Dip ($5.61) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 10 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/lucky-dip rendered: 2026-11-11T21:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Lucky Dip](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/lucky-dip) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Lucky Dip A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/lucky-dip?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/lucky-dip?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/lucky-dip) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/lucky-dip?window=all) Price · $5.61 · 9.14 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $5.12 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 13.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/lucky-dip?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/lucky-dip?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/lucky-dip) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/lucky-dip?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $299 486 coins | 29.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 69 | $8.42 13.7 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $6.83 11.12 coins | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $6.29 10.24 coins | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Colony (Factory New) weapon · Consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-colony-factory-new) | 12.0% | $5.92 9.64 coins | 13.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 16.8% | $5.42 8.83 coins | 17.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-well-worn) | 15.1% | $4.69 7.64 coins | 13.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $2.70 4.4 coins | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M249 \| Magma (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-magma-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $1.10 1.79 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-field-tested) | 25.4% | $0.40 0.65 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=lucky-dip) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $5.61 | 91.20% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.5% classified 1.4% restricted 29.2% industrial 17.0% Consumer 12.0% Legendary 16.8% mil spec 23.1% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt