---
title: "Man case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Man ($34.55) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 16 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/man
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:19Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Man](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/man)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Man

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/man?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/man?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/man) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/man?window=all)

Price · $34.55 · 56.25 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $31.51 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 10.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 78.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/man?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/man?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/man) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/man?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Grim's Cow other](https://gambatracker.com/items/grims-cow) | 1 in 1,429 | $3,178 5,173 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $1,105 1,799 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $691 1,125 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 156 | $449 731 coins | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $345 562 coins | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-needle-point-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $294 478 coins | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $197 321 coins | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 53 | $121 197 coins | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $93.26 152 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $72.53 118 coins | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $55.27 89.97 coins | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $44.90 73.1 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $31.09 50.61 coins | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 10.4% | $22.45 36.55 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Blue Spruce (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-spruce-battle-scarred) | 35.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=man)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $34.55 | 91.20% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 0.1% Extraordinary 0.1% covert 18.2% classified 11.1% extraordinary 2.0% mil spec 8.5% industrial 25.0% consumer 35.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt