--- title: "Marbled case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Marbled ($399.33) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 16 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marbled rendered: 2026-11-11T13:30Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Marbled](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marbled) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Marbled A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marbled?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marbled?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marbled) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marbled?window=all) Price · $399.33 · 650 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $364.18 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 46.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 37.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marbled?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marbled?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marbled) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marbled?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,222 | $3,104 5,053 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 1,667 | $2,918 4,750 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $2,498 4,066 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $2,278 3,708 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 556 | $1,417 2,307 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 211 | $919 1,497 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 73 | $739 1,203 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $625 1,017 coins | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $593 966 coins | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $554 901 coins | 11.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-battle-scarred) | 12.3% | $510 830 coins | 17.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 15.8% | $476 775 coins | 20.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 16.0% | $405 659 coins | 17.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-field-tested) | 11.5% | $258 420 coins | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Lunar Weave (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-lunar-weave-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $108 176 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-battle-scarred) | 20.5% | $38.93 63.37 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=marbled) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $399 | 91.20% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 22.0% contraband 0.1% covert 9.5% covert knife 16.2% #ffd700 15.8% sunny 16.0% classified 20.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt