--- title: "Marksman case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Marksman ($18.76) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 13 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marksman rendered: 2026-11-11T15:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Marksman](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marksman) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Marksman A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marksman?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marksman?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marksman) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marksman?window=all) Price · $18.76 · 30.54 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $17.11 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 23.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 38 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marksman?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marksman?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marksman) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/marksman?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,278 3,708 coins | 13.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $976 1,589 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $499 813 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $305 497 coins | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $282 458 coins | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $258 420 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $212 346 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Snake Camo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-snake-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $185 302 coins | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 111 | $163 266 coins | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Graphite (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $137 223 coins | 9.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $114 185 coins | 14.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $77.10 126 coins | 14.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 90.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=marksman) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $18.76 | 91.20% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 6.8% classified 1.5% red 0.4% #d32ee6 0.6% mil spec 0.8% Uncommon 90.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt