--- title: "Medusa case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Medusa ($261.82) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 17 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/medusa rendered: 2026-11-11T22:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Medusa](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/medusa) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Medusa A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/medusa?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/medusa?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/medusa) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/medusa?window=all) Price · $261.82 · 426 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $238.78 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 31.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 52.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/medusa?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/medusa?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/medusa) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/medusa?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $2,497 4,065 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 2,857 | $2,278 3,708 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 2,174 | $2,158 3,513 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $2,100 3,419 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $1,777 2,892 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 571 | $933 1,519 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $627 1,020 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $495 805 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $419 682 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $394 641 coins | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $370 602 coins | 11.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Jaguar (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-jaguar-factory-new) | 13.0% | $343 559 coins | 18.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-minimal-wear) | 16.0% | $317 516 coins | 21.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 15.2% | $259 422 coins | 16.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $163 266 coins | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $66.69 109 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-green-laminate-field-tested) | 21.0% | $24.00 39.07 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 21:38 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=medusa) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $262 | 91.20% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 29.6% legendary 1.4% epic 0.0% Covert 0.1% other 0.4% classified 18.9% covert knife 12.5% extraordinary 16.0% Mil Spec Grade 21.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt