--- title: "Mercenary Glock-18 case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Mercenary Glock-18 ($5.74) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.24% from 13 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mercenary-glock-18 rendered: 2026-11-12T00:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Mercenary Glock-18](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mercenary-glock-18) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Mercenary Glock-18 A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mercenary-glock-18?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mercenary-glock-18?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mercenary-glock-18) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mercenary-glock-18?window=all) Price · $5.74 · 9.35 coins Advertised RTP · 91.24% · EV $5.24 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 54.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 56 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mercenary-glock-18?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mercenary-glock-18?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mercenary-glock-18) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mercenary-glock-18?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,257 2,046 coins | 24.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $232 378 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $138 224 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $112 182 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $83.93 137 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Brass (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-brass-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $72.13 117 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) weapon · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 167 | $59.65 97.1 coins | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $48.43 78.84 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $43.12 70.19 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Night (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-night-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $35.65 58.03 coins | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-nuclear-garden-well-worn) | 1 in 48 | $27.18 44.25 coins | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-rameses-reach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $21.41 34.85 coins | 13.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-battle-scarred) | 90.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 21:38 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=mercenary-glock-18) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $5.74 | 91.24% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 4.1% red 0.1% classified 0.2% covert 2.3% industrial 91.2% Restricted 2.1% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.24 on average: an expected loss of $8.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt