---
title: "Minted case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Minted ($20.30) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.19% from 15 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/minted
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:54Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Minted](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/minted)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Minted

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/minted?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/minted?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/minted) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/minted?window=all)

Price · $20.30 · 33.04 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.19% · EV $18.51 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 4.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/minted?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/minted?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/minted) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/minted?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,770 2,882 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 2,000 | $877 1,427 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $349 569 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 400 | $232 378 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $148 242 coins | 7.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $113 185 coins | 10.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $73.52 120 coins | 13.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) weapon · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 19 | $47.43 77.21 coins | 13.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $42.10 68.54 coins | 14.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $31.42 51.15 coins | 11.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $25.58 41.64 coins | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $21.51 35.01 coins | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Cold Fusion (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=minted)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $20.30 | 91.19% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% covert 16.4% extraordinary 8.0% red 0.3% restricted 7.1% Legendary 8.2% mil spec 20.0% #87c7ff 40.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.19 on average: an expected loss of $8.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt