--- title: "Mystery Combo case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Mystery Combo ($105.67) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 13 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mystery-combo rendered: 2026-11-11T23:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Mystery Combo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mystery-combo) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Mystery Combo A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mystery-combo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mystery-combo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mystery-combo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mystery-combo?window=all) Price · $105.67 · 172 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $96.38 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 24.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 38 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mystery-combo?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mystery-combo?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mystery-combo) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/mystery-combo?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $13.3K 21,684 coins | 13.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,542 7,394 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 667 | $2,853 4,644 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $2,319 3,775 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 400 | $1,585 2,581 coins | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $1,401 2,281 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $1,169 1,903 coins | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $1,028 1,674 coins | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $933 1,519 coins | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $825 1,343 coins | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $561 913 coins | 12.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $459 747 coins | 15.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sealed Graffiti \| Double (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-double-swat-blue) | 90.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 21:38 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=mystery-combo) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $106 | 91.20% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.5% extraordinary 5.7% epic 0.8% Common 90.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt