--- title: "Night Rider case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Night Rider ($3.35) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.21% from 22 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/night-rider rendered: 2026-11-11T22:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Night Rider](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/night-rider) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Night Rider A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/night-rider?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/night-rider?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/night-rider) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/night-rider?window=all) Price · $3.35 · 5.45 coins Advertised RTP · 91.21% · EV $3.05 from 22 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 31.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 37.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/night-rider?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/night-rider?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/night-rider) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/night-rider?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Flip Knife \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-night-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $182 296 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $176 286 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $120 196 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $113 184 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $91.86 150 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $59.16 96.3 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,000 | $46.03 74.93 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $30.54 49.71 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 2,500 | $27.46 44.71 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 556 | $12.16 19.8 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $10.12 16.48 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $7.40 12.05 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $6.14 10 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $4.90 7.98 coins | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $4.90 7.98 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $4.60 7.49 coins | 11.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-field-tested) | 13.5% | $4.27 6.95 coins | 18.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Shattered (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-shattered-field-tested) | 16.3% | $3.98 6.48 coins | 21.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $3.38 5.5 coins | 16.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sawed-Off \| First Class (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-first-class-battle-scarred) | 10.5% | $2.15 3.5 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.92 1.5 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| High Beam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-high-beam-minimal-wear) | 19.5% | $0.31 0.5 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 21:38 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=night-rider) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $3.35 | 91.21% | 22 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 0.0% #ffd700 0.0% covert 4.5% industrial 0.0% classified 15.5% Classified 0.0% #4b69ff 0.2% Legendary 1.4% Ancient 3.6% #d32ee6 7.5% mil spec 24.0% Rare 16.3% Mythical 7.5% Uncommon 19.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.21 on average: an expected loss of $8.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt