---
title: "Olympian case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Olympian ($14.23) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 15 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/olympian
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:21Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Olympian](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/olympian)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Olympian

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/olympian?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/olympian?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/olympian) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/olympian?window=all)

Price · $14.23 · 23.16 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $12.98 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 29.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 61 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/olympian?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/olympian?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/olympian) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/olympian?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Titan sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan) | 1 in 20,000 | $2,928 4,767 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,022 3,292 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,464 2,383 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $1,018 1,657 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 625 | $669 1,090 coins | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 345 | $544 885 coins | 12.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 213 | $446 726 coins | 16.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 169 | $293 477 coins | 13.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) | 1 in 147 | $244 397 coins | 12.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 137 | $165 268 coins | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 118 | $119 193 coins | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 91 | $90.66 148 coins | 7.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Facility Negative (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-facility-negative-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Orange Peel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-orange-peel-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-battle-scarred) | 40.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=olympian)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $14.23 | 91.20% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed other 0.0% legendary 0.0% covert 3.2% classified 0.1% epic 0.2% red 1.5% milspec 25.0% Uncommon 30.0% #4b69ff 40.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt