---
title: "Poseidon case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Poseidon ($12.27) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 18 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/poseidon
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Poseidon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/poseidon)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Poseidon

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/poseidon?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/poseidon?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/poseidon) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/poseidon?window=all)

Price · $12.27 · 19.98 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $11.19 from 18 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 9.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/poseidon?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/poseidon?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/poseidon) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/poseidon?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $990 1,612 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 741 | $660 1,074 coins | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 1,818 | $409 666 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 156 | $185 301 coins | 10.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 182 | $175 285 coins | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 282 | $109 177 coins | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $66.22 108 coins | 14.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Duelist (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $36.22 58.97 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $31.05 50.54 coins | 20.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $18.81 30.62 coins | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $17.88 29.1 coins | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $10.66 17.36 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $10.06 16.37 coins | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $7.18 11.69 coins | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $3.37 5.49 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-factory-new) | 19.9% | $0.56 0.91 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Drought (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-drought-factory-new) | 20.2% | $0.44 0.72 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Forest Night (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-forest-night-factory-new) | 19.9% | $0.09 0.15 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=poseidon)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $12.27 | 91.20% | 18 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 21.0% covert 4.5% restricted 0.8% Classified 7.4% pink 6.3% #87c7ff 19.9% Common 20.2% consumer 19.9%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt