--- title: "Pot Of Gold case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Pot Of Gold ($136.08) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 18 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/pot-of-gold rendered: 2026-11-13T03:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Pot Of Gold](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/pot-of-gold) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Pot Of Gold A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/pot-of-gold?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/pot-of-gold?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/pot-of-gold) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/pot-of-gold?window=all) Price · $136.08 · 222 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $124.11 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 32.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 37.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/pot-of-gold?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/pot-of-gold?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/pot-of-gold) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/pot-of-gold?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $1,842 2,999 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,766 2,875 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,571 | $1,330 2,165 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,260 2,051 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 2,222 | $1,124 1,831 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $861 1,402 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 556 | $509 829 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 220 | $339 552 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $256 417 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $204 332 coins | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $198 322 coins | 8.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $185 302 coins | 11.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 13.2% | $176 286 coins | 18.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-field-tested) | 16.0% | $158 257 coins | 20.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-field-tested) | 15.0% | $143 233 coins | 17.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Night Stripe (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-night-stripe-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10 | $84.04 137 coins | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $38.93 63.37 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Hades (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-hades-factory-new) | 20.0% | $12.88 20.96 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 13 Nov, 02:19 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=pot-of-gold) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $136 | 91.20% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 11.1% extraordinary 16.2% gold 3.9% covert knife 18.6% rare 7.8% classified 22.4% Industrial Grade 20.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt