---
title: "Predator case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Predator ($341.98) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 20 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/predator
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Predator](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/predator)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Predator

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/predator?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/predator?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/predator) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/predator?window=all)

Price · $341.98 · 557 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $311.89 from 20 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 32.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 37.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/predator?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/predator?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/predator) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/predator?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 12,500 | $9,591 15,613 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $7,834 12,753 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,212 11,740 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $6,271 10,208 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 4,348 | $4,700 7,651 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $3,133 5,100 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,381 | $2,820 4,590 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-factory-new) | 1 in 1,205 | $2,193 3,570 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 556 | $1,253 2,040 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 235 | $783 1,275 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $627 1,020 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $533 867 coins | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $502 817 coins | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Knife \| Bayonet other](https://gambatracker.com/items/knife-bayonet) | 1 in 13 | $470 765 coins | 11.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Big Game (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-minimal-wear) | 13.2% | $435 709 coins | 18.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 16.2% | $407 663 coins | 21.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) | 14.3% | $345 561 coins | 15.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $220 358 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $94.21 153 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 20.0% | $31.33 51.01 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=predator)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $342 | 91.20% | 20 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 43.7% contraband 0.0% extraordinary 26.4% classified 14.4% other 7.5% Ancient 8.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
