--- title: "Rebel AK-47 case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Rebel AK-47 ($7.68) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.18% from 14 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/rebel-ak-47 rendered: 2026-11-12T05:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Rebel AK-47](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/rebel-ak-47) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Rebel AK-47 A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/rebel-ak-47?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/rebel-ak-47?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/rebel-ak-47) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/rebel-ak-47?window=all) Price · $7.68 · 12.5 coins Advertised RTP · 91.18% · EV $7.00 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 20.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 44 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/rebel-ak-47?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/rebel-ak-47?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/rebel-ak-47) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/rebel-ak-47?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $721 1,173 coins | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $367 598 coins | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $275 447 coins | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 400 | $198 322 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $115 187 coins | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $95.15 155 coins | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $73.33 119 coins | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $59.35 96.61 coins | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 77 | $53.87 87.69 coins | 10.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $45.38 73.88 coins | 9.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $34.31 55.85 coins | 9.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $33.31 54.22 coins | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Nova \| Wood Fired (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wood-fired-field-tested) | 45.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [XM1014 \| Slipstream (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-slipstream-well-worn) | 45.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 12 Nov, 03:51 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=rebel-ak-47) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $7.68 | 91.18% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 1 45.0% epic 0.1% covert 6.2% classified 2.8% Ancient 0.9% mil spec 45.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.18 on average: an expected loss of $8.82 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt