--- title: "Revolution case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Revolution ($15.26) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.18% from 13 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/revolution rendered: 2026-11-11T14:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Revolution](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/revolution) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Revolution A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/revolution?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/revolution?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/revolution) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/revolution?window=all) Price · $15.26 · 24.85 coins Advertised RTP · 91.18% · EV $13.92 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 70.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 95 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/revolution?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/revolution?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/revolution) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/revolution?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $3,803 6,191 coins | 27.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $772 1,257 coins | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $417 679 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $301 490 coins | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Daybreak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $177 288 coins | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $140 229 coins | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $119 194 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $101 164 coins | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $80.80 132 coins | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-modern-hunter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $69.48 113 coins | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $59.04 96.12 coins | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $50.19 81.7 coins | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Mainframe (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-battle-scarred) | 90.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 09:22 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=revolution) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $15.26 | 91.18% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 0.1% classified 2.1% Covert 0.2% covert 5.8% restricted 1.8% #87c7ff 90.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.18 on average: an expected loss of $8.82 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt