--- title: "Risky Doppler case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Risky Doppler ($57.37) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 13 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/risky-doppler rendered: 2026-11-11T21:09Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Risky Doppler](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/risky-doppler) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Risky Doppler A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/risky-doppler?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/risky-doppler?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/risky-doppler) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/risky-doppler?window=all) Price · $57.37 · 93.39 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $52.32 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 23.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 38 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/risky-doppler?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/risky-doppler?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/risky-doppler) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/risky-doppler?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,186 11,699 coins | 13.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,045 3,329 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 667 | $1,493 2,430 coins | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 500 | $1,105 1,799 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) | 1 in 400 | $884 1,440 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 250 | $773 1,259 coins | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 167 | $663 1,080 coins | 7.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 125 | $563 916 coins | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · #ffd700 · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 111 | $510 829 coins | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · #ffd700 · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 83 | $426 694 coins | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · gold · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 48 | $327 532 coins | 13.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 31 | $258 420 coins | 15.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| This Is Fine (H) sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-h) | 90.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=risky-doppler) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $57.37 | 91.20% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.8% #ffd700 2.1% gold 2.1% high 90.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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