---
title: "Royalty case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Royalty ($2.02) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.26% from 23 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/royalty
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Royalty](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/royalty)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Royalty

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/royalty?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/royalty?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/royalty) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/royalty?window=all)

Price · $2.02 · 3.29 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.26% · EV $1.84 from 23 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 31.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 37.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/royalty?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/royalty?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/royalty) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/royalty?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $301 490 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 25,000 | $133 216 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 12,500 | $99.46 162 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $94.02 153 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16,667 | $92.85 151 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,111 | $55.24 89.92 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $36.36 59.19 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,167 | $27.11 44.14 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 3,226 | $18.41 29.97 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $16.59 27 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $12.89 20.99 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 556 | $7.37 11.99 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Heat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-factory-new) | 1 in 270 | $4.51 7.35 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $3.54 5.77 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $3.13 5.1 coins | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2.93 4.77 coins | 7.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Signal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $2.76 4.5 coins | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-field-tested) | 13.3% | $2.55 4.15 coins | 18.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-fowl-play-battle-scarred) | 15.9% | $2.39 3.89 coins | 20.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $2.03 3.31 coins | 16.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $1.29 2.1 coins | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Gauss (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gauss-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.55 0.9 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-army-sheen-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.18 0.29 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=royalty)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $2.02 | 91.26% | 23 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.3% covert knife 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% classified 19.7% Industrial Grade 0.0% red 0.1% restricted 13.4% #d32ee6 1.4% #8847ff 7.3% mil spec 28.3% Legendary 9.5% Common 20.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.26 on average: an expected loss of $8.74 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt