---
title: "Sacred Sapphire case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Sacred Sapphire ($43.88) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.21% from 5 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/sacred-sapphire
rendered: 2026-11-12T06:10Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Sacred Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/sacred-sapphire)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Sacred Sapphire

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/sacred-sapphire?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/sacred-sapphire?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/sacred-sapphire) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/sacred-sapphire?window=all)

Price · $43.88 · 71.44 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.21% · EV $40.02 from 5 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 110.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 286 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/sacred-sapphire?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/sacred-sapphire?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/sacred-sapphire) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/sacred-sapphire?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $12.5K 20,303 coins | 15.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,053 11,481 coins | 17.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 500 | $4,133 6,728 coins | 20.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 154 | $2,841 4,624 coins | 46.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Goofy (SWAT Blue) graffiti · Graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-goofy-swat-blue) | 99.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 12 Nov, 03:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=sacred-sapphire)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $43.88 | 91.21% | 5 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.0% Graffiti 99.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.21 on average: an expected loss of $8.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt