---
title: "Scamdom case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Scamdom ($12.38) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.19% from 10 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/scamdom
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Scamdom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/scamdom)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Scamdom

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/scamdom?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/scamdom?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/scamdom) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/scamdom?window=all)

Price · $12.38 · 20.16 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.19% · EV $11.29 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 29.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 57 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/scamdom?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/scamdom?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/scamdom) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/scamdom?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $7,616 12,398 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $2,415 3,931 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $805 1,310 coins | 28.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 75 | $149 242 coins | 17.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $80.50 131 coins | 12.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $48.29 78.62 coins | 9.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $26.01 42.34 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $22.91 37.3 coins | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shallow-grave-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $17.89 29.13 coins | 11.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Blocked other](https://gambatracker.com/items/blocked) | 80.0% | $0 0 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=scamdom)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $12.38 | 91.19% | 10 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 6.2% extraordinary 0.4% classified 6.4% Classified 7.0% other 80.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.19 on average: an expected loss of $8.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
