--- title: "Secret Agent case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Secret Agent ($52.04) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 20 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/secret-agent rendered: 2026-11-11T18:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Secret Agent](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/secret-agent) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Secret Agent A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/secret-agent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/secret-agent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/secret-agent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/secret-agent?window=all) Price · $52.04 · 84.71 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $47.46 from 20 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 32.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 51.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/secret-agent?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/secret-agent?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/secret-agent) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/secret-agent?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 20 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,500 | $1,293 2,104 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,111 | $1,113 1,812 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,111 | $1,008 1,640 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $738 1,201 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $688 1,120 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $483 786 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $434 707 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,205 | $333 542 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Classic Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 556 | $192 312 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Night Stripe (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-night-stripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 235 | $113 185 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 71 | $96.01 156 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $80.22 131 coins | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $77.84 127 coins | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $72.99 119 coins | 11.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 13.2% | $67.26 110 coins | 18.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-minimal-wear) | 16.2% | $62.46 102 coins | 21.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 14.3% | $51.04 83.09 coins | 15.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $32.75 53.31 coins | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $13.88 22.59 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-factory-new) | 20.0% | $4.87 7.93 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=secret-agent) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $52.04 | 91.20% | 20 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% covert 40.5% classified 0.0% epic 0.0% gold 1.4% restricted 7.5% #eb4b4b 16.2% Ancient 14.3% Mythical 20.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt