--- title: "Serpent case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Serpent ($102.03) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 18 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/serpent rendered: 2026-11-11T15:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Serpent](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/serpent) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Serpent A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/serpent?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/serpent?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/serpent) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/serpent?window=all) Price · $102.03 · 166 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $93.05 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 32.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 36.1% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/serpent?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/serpent?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/serpent) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/serpent?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $1,996 3,249 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 3,704 | $1,526 2,484 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,190 1,938 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 3,226 | $946 1,539 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,222 | $868 1,413 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-factory-new) | 1 in 1,149 | $678 1,104 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 556 | $358 583 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Daybreak (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $226 368 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $183 298 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $167 272 coins | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $153 248 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $136 222 coins | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 13.0% | $129 210 coins | 18.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 16.0% | $120 195 coins | 20.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lt. Commander (Battle-Scarred) gloves · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-battle-scarred) | 15.8% | $102 167 coins | 17.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $64.41 105 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $26.55 43.22 coins | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 19.4% | $9.05 14.74 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=serpent) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $102 | 91.20% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 53.5% extraordinary 4.0% restricted 19.8% gold 1.5% Legendary 5.5% #EB4B4B 15.8% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt