--- title: "Shooting Iron case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Shooting Iron ($6.30) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.20% from 22 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shooting-iron rendered: 2026-11-11T22:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Shooting Iron](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shooting-iron) # [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Shooting Iron A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shooting-iron?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shooting-iron?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shooting-iron) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shooting-iron?window=all) Price · $6.30 · 10.26 coins Advertised RTP · 91.20% · EV $5.75 from 22 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 31.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 37.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shooting-iron?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shooting-iron?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shooting-iron) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shooting-iron?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 16,667 | $750 1,221 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $272 443 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $260 424 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 14,286 | $226 367 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $175 284 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $120 195 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 4,545 | $84.10 137 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,439 | $54.98 89.51 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $42.87 69.79 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 1,250 | $37.97 61.82 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-heirloom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $14.99 24.41 coins | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Predator (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 556 | $12.76 20.77 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-bloodshot-well-worn) | 1 in 227 | $12.67 20.62 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $11.63 18.94 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $9.20 14.97 coins | 12.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8.66 14.1 coins | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 12.8% | $7.65 12.46 coins | 17.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-well-worn) | 16.0% | $7.45 12.12 coins | 20.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-caution-field-tested) | 15.0% | $6.51 10.6 coins | 17.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Tornado (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tornado-battle-scarred) | 19.9% | $1.32 2.15 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Sand Dune (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $1.14 1.86 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Mud-Spec (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-mud-spec-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $0.90 1.47 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 21:38 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=shooting-iron) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $6.30 | 91.20% | 22 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 1 16.0% classified 20.6% covert 1.4% restricted 3.8% extraordinary 0.0% Legendary 0.1% industrial 20.1% Classified 0.4% #8847ff 5.0% Restricted 15.0% Consumer Grade 8.1% Uncommon 9.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.20 on average: an expected loss of $8.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt