---
title: "Shootout case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Shootout ($25.86) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.19% from 17 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shootout
rendered: 2026-11-11T17:19Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Shootout](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shootout)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Shootout

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shootout?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shootout?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shootout) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shootout?window=all)

Price · $25.86 · 42.1 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.19% · EV $23.58 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 15.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shootout?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shootout?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shootout) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/shootout?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| The Prince (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,518 4,100 coins | 10.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $1,258 2,048 coins | 6.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-well-worn) | 1 in 714 | $630 1,025 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $379 617 coins | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $291 474 coins | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 159 | $202 328 coins | 5.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 123 | $176 287 coins | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $126 205 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $71.78 117 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $57.93 94.3 coins | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $47.41 77.18 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $42.89 69.82 coins | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $37.14 60.46 coins | 9.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $35.04 57.05 coins | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $30.54 49.71 coins | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Bock Bock (Shark White) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-bock-bock-shark-white) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sealed Graffiti \| Thoughtfull (Shark White) graffiti](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-thoughtfull-shark-white) | 35.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=shootout)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:38 UTC | $25.86 | 91.19% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 26.7% classified 0.3% pink 1.3% Covert 0.6% Ancient 6.0% other 65.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.19 on average: an expected loss of $8.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt