---
title: "Silent Revolution case on CSGOEmpire: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Silent Revolution ($11.25) on CSGOEmpire, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.21% from 13 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/silent-revolution
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) / [Silent Revolution](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/silent-revolution)

# [CSGOEmpire](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoempire) · Silent Revolution

A case on CSGOEmpire (Featured), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGOEmpire's own item price converted from Empire coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/silent-revolution?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/silent-revolution?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/silent-revolution) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/silent-revolution?window=all)

Price · $11.25 · 18.31 coins

Advertised RTP · 91.21% · EV $10.26 from 13 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 28.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 65 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/silent-revolution?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/silent-revolution?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/silent-revolution) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoempire/silent-revolution?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,326 2,158 coins | 12.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $705 1,148 coins | 10.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $459 748 coins | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $304 495 coins | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $156 254 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $124 202 coins | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $99.56 162 coins | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $80.67 131 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $69.17 113 coins | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $59.01 96.07 coins | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $49.07 79.88 coins | 9.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $40.65 66.18 coins | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 90.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are CSGOEmpire's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoempire:caseopening/case.chance`, 11 Nov, 15:30 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoempire&case=silent-revolution)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:48 UTC | $11.25 | 91.21% | 13 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 5.8% classified 2.1% Legendary 2.1% Industrial Grade 90.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.21 on average: an expected loss of $8.79 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
